Regional
Atmospheric
Soaring
Prediction
BLIPMAP
FORECASTS
For
Black Forest, CO
Using a
locally-run WRF model with 4 km horizontal resolution and 52 vertical
levels
BLIPMAPTM = Boundary Layer Information Prediction MAP
Created by Dr. John W. (Jack) Glendening,
Meteorologist
Local Model Run by
Dave Leonard
UNDER DEVELOPMENT
!
These forecasts are
new and untested. I will be making adjustments to improve them, with
the goal of seeing if they can prove useful to soaring pilots. I’ll
run this mostly on the weekends to support my flying for awhile. If it turns
out to be useful enough, I’ll have to get a dedicated computer to run
it more frequently. There will likely be changes in coverage and forecast
times. Feedback is encouraged to Dr Jack through the
RASP Forum
or to Dave Leonard if
its about problems with this
website.
1500 MDT 4km forecasts are available around
1100Z (5:30AM MDT)
The 4km forecasts result from model
initializations with 06Z data. Each update simply overwrites the previous
forecast, so while the model is still running two different forecast times
can have different dates - please
check
the forecast dates at the top of each plot for
currency
!
NEW!
Front Range
Univiewer
(alternate view of same maps)
PARAMETER |
LATEST FORECASTS |
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PREVIOUS FORECASTS |
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4km |
4km |
4km |
4km |
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4km |
4km |
4km |
4km |
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Thermal Parameters: |
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Thermal Updraft Velocity & B/S Ratio |
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Thermal Updraft Velocity
(W*) |
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Buoyancy/Shear
Ratio |
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Height of Critical Updraft Strength (Hcrit) |
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Depth of Critical Updraft
Strength (AGL
Hcrit) |
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BL Top |
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BL
Depth |
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Thermal Height
Uncertainty |
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Sfc. Sun |
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Sfc. Temperature |
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Wind Parameters: |
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Sfc. Wind |
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BL Avg. Wind |
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Wind at BL
Top |
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BL Wind
Shear |
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BL Max. Up/Down
(Convergence) |
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Cloud Parameters: |
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Cu
Potential |
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Cu Cloudbase (Sfc.LCL) [MSL] |
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Cu Cloudbase where CuPotential>0 |
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Overdevelopment Potential |
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Overdevelopment Cloudbase (Sfc.LCL) [MSL] |
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BL Overdevelopment Base
where
ODPotential>0 |
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BL Cloud
Cover |
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Sfc. Dew Point Temperature |
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Wave/Upper-Level Parameters: |
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Vertical Velocity at
700mb |
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Vertical Velocity at
500mb |
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Vert.Velocity Slice at
Vert.Vel.Max |
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Soundings: |
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The Univiewer has access to the old smaller area Colorado forecast, as well as other forecasts from time to time.
