Regional Atmospheric
Soaring Prediction
BLIPMAP
FORECASTS
For Black Forest, CO
Using a locally-run
WRF model with 4 km horizontal resolution and 52 vertical levels
BLIPMAPTM = Boundary Layer Information Prediction MAP
Created by Dr. John W. (Jack) Glendening, Meteorologist
Local Model Run by Dave
Leonard
UNDER
DEVELOPMENT !
These forecasts are new
and untested. I will be making adjustments to improve them, with the goal
of seeing if they can prove useful to soaring pilots. I’ll run this
mostly on the weekends to support my flying for awhile. If it turns out to be
useful enough, I’ll have to get a dedicated computer to run it more
frequently. There will likely be changes in coverage and forecast times.
Feedback is encouraged to Dr Jack through the RASP Forum or
to Dave Leonard if its about problems with this website.
1500
MST 4km forecasts are available around 1100Z (4:00AM MST)
The 4km forecasts result from model initializations
with 06Z data. Each update simply overwrites the previous forecast, so
while the model is still running two different forecast times can have
different dates - please check the forecast dates at the top of
each plot for currency !
NEW!
PARAMETER |
LATEST FORECASTS |
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PREVIOUS FORECASTS |
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4km |
4km |
4km |
4km |
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4km |
4km |
4km |
4km |
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Thermal Parameters: |
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Thermal Updraft Velocity & B/S Ratio |
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Thermal
Updraft Velocity (W*) |
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Buoyancy/Shear
Ratio |
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Height of Critical Updraft Strength (Hcrit) |
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Depth of
Critical Updraft Strength (AGL Hcrit) |
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BL Top |
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BL Depth |
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Thermal
Height Uncertainty |
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Sfc. Sun |
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Sfc.
Temperature |
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Wind Parameters: |
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Sfc. Wind |
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BL Avg. Wind |
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Wind at BL
Top |
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BL Wind
Shear |
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BL Max.
Up/Down (Convergence) |
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Cloud Parameters: |
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Cu
Potential |
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Cu Cloudbase (Sfc.LCL) [MSL] |
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Cu Cloudbase where CuPotential>0 |
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Overdevelopment Potential |
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Overdevelopment Cloudbase (Sfc.LCL) [MSL] |
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BL
Overdevelopment Base where ODPotential>0 |
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BL Cloud
Cover |
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Sfc. Dew
Point Temperature |
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Wave/Upper-Level Parameters: |
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Vertical
Velocity at 700mb |
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Vertical
Velocity at 500mb |
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Vert.Velocity
Slice at Vert.Vel.Max |
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Soundings: |
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The Univiewer
has access to the old smaller area